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Sporting Cascades vs Sonabel Ouagadougou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade Banfora, Banfora
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Cascades host Sonabel Ouagadougou in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Sporting Cascades have averaged 0.94 scored and 0.71 conceded recently, against Sonabel Ouagadougou's 0.9 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Sporting Cascades slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.00 - 0.94) back Sporting Cascades to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sporting Cascades
15%
Draws
48%
Sonabel Ouagadougou
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sonabel Ouagadougou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Cascades carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Sporting Cascades Clean Sheet 20%
Sonabel Ouagadougou Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Cascades Sonabel Ouagadougou
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.94 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Sporting Cascades
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Sporting Cascades vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Sporting Cascades
0:1
Nov 10, 2024 Premier League
Sporting Cascades vs Sonabel Ouagadougou
0:0
Feb 8, 2024 Premier League
Sonabel Ouagadougou vs Sporting Cascades
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cascades 32 / 100
Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Cascades Sonabel Ouagadougou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sonabel Ouagadougou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sporting Cascades scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Sonabel Ouagadougou conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sporting Cascades stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cascades VS Sonabel Ouagadougou
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cascades

(Home)
04 Oct
Sporting Cascades
2 : 3
FocuSport
27 Sept
AS Douanes
0 : 1
Sporting Cascades
19 Sept
Sporting Cascades
0 : 0
CFFEB
10 May
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
4 : 2
Sporting Cascades
03 May
Sporting Cascades
2 : 1
Majestic
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Sonabel Ouagadougou

(Away)
05 Oct
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
US Comoe
26 Sept
FocuSport
3 : 2
Sonabel Ouagadougou
18 Sept
Sonabel Ouagadougou
0 : 1
Majestic
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USFA 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 FocuSport 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
3 Vitesse 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
4 ASFA Yennega 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
5 Rahimo 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
6 Real Du Faso 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
7 Maya 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
8 Sporting Cascades 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
9 ASF Dioulasso 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
10 Sonabel Ouagadougou 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
11 Majestic 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
12 US Comoe 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
13 AS Douanes 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
14 CFFEB 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
15 Kadiogo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
16 Salitas 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)