Sport Picks
Sporting CP U19 vs Alverca U19
Portugal
Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Soares S.
45'
45'
Rolo D.
74'
74'
Almeida M.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 game between Sporting CP U19 and Alverca U19 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alverca U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting CP U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sporting CP U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Sporting CP U19 a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sporting CP U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting CP U19 | Alverca U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.05 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.85 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sporting CP U19 vs Alverca U19
3:0
Dec 6, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sporting CP U19 vs Alverca U19
1:2
Aug 24, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Sporting CP U19
3:2
Dec 2, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Sporting CP U19
2:2
Sep 2, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sporting CP U19 vs Alverca U19
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting CP U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Almeida M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93
Alverca U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Rolo D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ayase M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting CP U19 67 / 100
Alverca U19 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting CP U19 Alverca U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting CP U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sporting CP U19 scored in 85% of their last 41 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Sporting CP U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Alverca U19 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sporting CP U19 VS Alverca U19
2.13 Goals Scored 1.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting CP U19
(Home) 13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0 Alverca U19
09 Sept
Sporting CP U19
2 : 2 Galatasaray U19
29 Aug
Torreense U19
1 : 2 Sporting CP U19
22 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1 Oriental U19
15 Aug
Leiria U19
1 : 1 Sporting CP U19
Page 1 of 9
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0 Alverca U19
09 Sept
Sporting CP U19
2 : 2 Galatasaray U19
22 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 1 Oriental U19
08 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 0 Casa Pia U19
16 May
Sporting CP U19
1 : 3 FC Porto U19
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Alverca U19
(Away) 13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0 Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3 SC Farense U19
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5 Alverca U19
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0 Alverca U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Alverca U19
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5 Alverca U19
14 Mar
Academico Viseu U19
0 : 0 Alverca U19
21 Feb
Mafra U19
3 : 1 Alverca U19
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 62:19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Ave U19 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 32:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Famalicao U19 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 35:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 22:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32:26 | 27 |
| 7 | Vizela U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30:39 | 19 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22:37 | 19 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 16 |
| 10 | Chaves U19 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10:38 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Leiria U19 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting CP U19 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 29 |
| 4 | Santa Clara U19 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu U19 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 24 |
| 6 | Torreense U19 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Alverca U19 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 23:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Belenenses U19 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Tondela U19 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Mafra U19 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22:38 | 15 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
