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Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Revelacao U23 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Gaspar G.
Own Goal
21' Event
Rocha D.
25' Event
Martins D.

AI Match Summary

Sporting CP U23 in this Liga Revelacao U23 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting CP U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Sporting CP U23
20%
Draws
42%
Benfica U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting CP U23 haven't matched Benfica U23's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sporting CP U23 taking it.
  • Regular Liga Revelacao U23 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Sporting CP U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Benfica U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting CP U23 Benfica U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23
4:1
Apr 24, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23
2:1
Feb 17, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23
4:2
Oct 5, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Sporting CP U23 vs Benfica U23
0:1
Aug 21, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Benfica U23 vs Sporting CP U23
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting CP U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Martins D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Benfica U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rocha D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting CP U23 42 / 100
Benfica U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting CP U23 Benfica U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting CP U23 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Benfica U23 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Sporting CP U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting CP U23 VS Benfica U23
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting CP U23

(Home)
09 Oct
Estoril U23
1 : 0
Sporting CP U23
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1
Penafiel U23
15 Sept
Sporting CP U23
2 : 2
Academico Viseu U23
05 Sept
Leixoes U23
3 : 4
Sporting CP U23
01 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 2
Sporting CP U23
Page 1 of 6

Benfica U23

(Away)
25 Sept
Maritimo U23
1 : 3
Benfica U23
19 Sept
Benfica U23
3 : 0
Torreense U23
14 Sept
Leiria U23
1 : 2
Benfica U23
09 Sept
Benfica U23
0 : 1
Vizela U23
02 Sept
Benfica U23
1 : 2
Academico Viseu U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico Viseu U23 14 10 2 2 18:8 32
2 Famalicao U23 14 9 4 1 32:19 31
3 Torreense U23 14 7 3 4 19:13 24
4 Benfica U23 14 6 0 8 24:28 18
5 Braga U23 14 5 2 7 20:24 17
6 Leixoes U23 14 3 5 6 20:24 14
7 Santa Clara U23 14 4 2 8 20:23 14
8 Sporting CP U23 14 2 2 10 15:29 8
Promotion - Taca Revelacao U23 2026/2027 (Main)