Sport Picks
Sporting CP U23 vs Leiria U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Next Gen U23 
Match Events
58'
58'
Daniel Lopes
71'
71'
Cavaco X.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Liga Next Gen U23 game between Sporting CP U23 and Leiria U23 finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting CP U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Leiria U23 haven't matched Sporting CP U23's recent run of results.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Sporting CP U23 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Sporting CP U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Leiria U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting CP U23 | Leiria U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 11, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Sporting CP U23 vs Leiria U23
1:1
Dec 22, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Leiria U23 vs Sporting CP U23
0:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Next Gen U23
Sporting CP U23 vs Leiria U23
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting CP U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Daniel Lopes
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Leiria U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting CP U23 75 / 100
Leiria U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting CP U23 Leiria U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting CP U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting CP U23 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Leiria U23 conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Sporting CP U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sporting CP U23 VS Leiria U23
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting CP U23
(Home) 09 Oct
Estoril U23
1 : 0 Sporting CP U23
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1 Penafiel U23
15 Sept
Sporting CP U23
2 : 2 Academico Viseu U23
05 Sept
Leixoes U23
3 : 4 Sporting CP U23
01 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 2 Sporting CP U23
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1 Penafiel U23
15 Sept
Sporting CP U23
2 : 2 Academico Viseu U23
25 Aug
Sporting CP U23
4 : 1 Benfica U23
11 Aug
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1 Leiria U23
24 Apr
Sporting CP U23
2 : 1 Benfica U23
Page 1 of 3
Leiria U23
(Away) 06 Oct
Leiria U23
1 : 1 Santa Clara U23
21 Sept
Leiria U23
0 : 1 Gil Vicente U23
14 Sept
Leiria U23
1 : 2 Benfica U23
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0 Leiria U23
01 Sept
Leiria U23
2 : 0 Maritimo U23
Page 1 of 7
08 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
2 : 0 Leiria U23
25 Aug
Leixoes U23
1 : 2 Leiria U23
11 Aug
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1 Leiria U23
21 Apr
Vizela U23
0 : 3 Leiria U23
29 Mar
Estoril U23
1 : 1 Leiria U23
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP U23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu U23 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 3 | Estoril U23 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 4 | Rio Ave U23 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Felgueiras U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 6 | SC Farense U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 7 | Braga U23 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Vizela U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Benfica U23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Santa Clara U23 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense U23 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 8 |
| 14 | Leiria U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Leixoes U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Torreense U23 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 17 | Penafiel U23 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9:11 | 5 |
| 18 | Estrela da Amadora U23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 19 | Portimonense U23 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 20 | Maritimo U23 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)
