Sport Picks
Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Next Gen U23 
Match Events
16'
16'
Daniel Lopes
34'
34'
Injai M.
55'
55'
Teixeira T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Next Gen U23 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
35%
14%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting CP U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sporting CP U23 have won more games recently than Penafiel U23.
- Model gives Sporting CP U23 a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Sporting CP U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Penafiel U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting CP U23 | Penafiel U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 7 |
| Wins | 10 | 0 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Liga Next Gen U23
Sporting CP U23 vs Penafiel U23
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting CP U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Daniel Lopes
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Penafiel U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Teixeira T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting CP U23 85 / 100
Penafiel U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting CP U23 Penafiel U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting CP U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sporting CP U23 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Penafiel U23 let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.
Solid form: Sporting CP U23 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Sporting CP U23 VS Penafiel U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting CP U23
(Home) 19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1 Penafiel U23
15 Sept
Sporting CP U23
2 : 2 Academico Viseu U23
05 Sept
Leixoes U23
3 : 4 Sporting CP U23
01 Sept
Estrela da Amadora U23
1 : 2 Sporting CP U23
25 Aug
Sporting CP U23
4 : 1 Benfica U23
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1 Penafiel U23
15 Sept
Sporting CP U23
2 : 2 Academico Viseu U23
25 Aug
Sporting CP U23
4 : 1 Benfica U23
11 Aug
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1 Leiria U23
24 Apr
Sporting CP U23
2 : 1 Benfica U23
Page 1 of 3
Penafiel U23
(Away) 29 Sept
Rio Ave U23
1 : 0 Penafiel U23
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1 Penafiel U23
15 Sept
Penafiel U23
0 : 1 Santa Clara U23
07 Sept
Braga U23
3 : 3 Penafiel U23
01 Sept
Penafiel U23
1 : 1 Leixoes U23
Page 1 of 2
29 Sept
Rio Ave U23
1 : 0 Penafiel U23
19 Sept
Sporting CP U23
1 : 1 Penafiel U23
07 Sept
Braga U23
3 : 3 Penafiel U23
11 Aug
Portimonense U23
2 : 2 Penafiel U23
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP U23 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu U23 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 3 | Estoril U23 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 4 | Rio Ave U23 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 5 | FC Felgueiras U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 11 |
| 6 | SC Farense U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 7 | Braga U23 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Vizela U23 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Benfica U23 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Santa Clara U23 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense U23 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 8 |
| 14 | Leiria U23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Leixoes U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 6 |
| 16 | Torreense U23 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 17 | Penafiel U23 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9:11 | 5 |
| 18 | Estrela da Amadora U23 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 19 | Portimonense U23 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 20 | Maritimo U23 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga Next Gen U23 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga Next Gen U23 (Losers stage)
