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Sporting CP vs Nottingham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Igor Jesus
14' Event
Inacio G.
46'
Sub
Inacio G. In: Felicissimo E.
Out: Inacio G.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sporting CP and Nottingham finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting CP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Sporting CP
35%
Draws
20%
Nottingham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting CP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting CP come out ahead of Nottingham on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Sporting CP taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sporting CP Clean Sheet 20%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting CP Nottingham
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.5 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Sporting CP vs Nottingham
4:1
Jul 11, 2009 Club Friendly
Sporting CP vs Nottingham
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting CP Compare

Top Goalscorer Nel R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Inacio G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Nottingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Jesus
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting CP 76 / 100
Nottingham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting CP Nottingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting CP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sporting CP scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Sporting CP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Nottingham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sporting CP VS Nottingham
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting CP

(Home)
19 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 2
Arouca
13 Sept
Famalicao
1 : 1
Sporting CP
09 Sept
Sporting CP
3 : 1
Galatasaray
05 Sept
Sporting CP
2 : 0
Nacional
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0 : 4
Sporting CP
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Nottingham

(Away)
19 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 1
Coventry
12 Sept
Aston Villa
1 : 2
Nottingham
05 Sept
Nottingham
0 : 0
Tottenham
29 Aug
Liverpool
2 : 2
Nottingham
25 Aug
Nottingham
0 : 2
Leeds
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