Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Cristal vs Juan Pablo II

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Araujo M.
31'
Yotun Y.
42'
Torres J.

AI Match Summary

Sporting Cristal in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Cristal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sporting Cristal
15%
Draws
44%
Juan Pablo II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juan Pablo II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting Cristal have won more games recently than Juan Pablo II.
  • Sporting Cristal are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sporting Cristal have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 14%
Juan Pablo II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Cristal Juan Pablo II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Juan Pablo II
2:0
Feb 14, 2026 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Sporting Cristal
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Liga 1
Juan Pablo II vs Sporting Cristal
0:0
Apr 28, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Juan Pablo II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Cristal Compare

Top Goalscorer Barcos H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Juan Pablo II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal 41 / 100
Juan Pablo II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Cristal Juan Pablo II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Cristal's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Juan Pablo II let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Sporting Cristal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal VS Juan Pablo II
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cristal

(Home)
27 Sept
AD Tarma
0 : 1
Sporting Cristal
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Moquegua
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
30 Aug
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 6

Juan Pablo II

(Away)
20 Sept
Juan Pablo II
4 : 0
Moquegua
11 Sept
Cajamarca
1 : 2
Juan Pablo II
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
22 Aug
Juan Pablo II
5 : 1
AD Tarma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
11 Atletico Grau 10 5 1 4 14:13 16
12 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
14 Cienciano 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
15 Moquegua 10 1 4 5 7:17 7
16 Los Chankas 9 2 1 6 10:23 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)