Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Cristal W vs FBC Melgar W

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2026 Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
Sporting Cristal W Logo

Sporting Cristal W

8 - 1
FT
FBC Melgar W Logo

FBC Melgar W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sporting Cristal W in this Liga Women 2026 tie, finishing 8-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sporting Cristal W
15%
Draws
49%
FBC Melgar W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FBC Melgar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting Cristal W lately — more wins on the board than FBC Melgar W.
  • FBC Melgar W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Sporting Cristal W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sporting Cristal W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sporting Cristal W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sporting Cristal W Clean Sheet 10%
FBC Melgar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Cristal W FBC Melgar W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 20 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.67 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Liga Women
FBC Melgar W vs Sporting Cristal W
0:3
Jun 20, 2026 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs FBC Melgar W
8:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs FBC Melgar W
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs FBC Melgar W
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs FBC Melgar W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal W 18 / 100
FBC Melgar W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Cristal W FBC Melgar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FBC Melgar W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sporting Cristal W scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

FBC Melgar W let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Sporting Cristal W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Cristal W VS FBC Melgar W
2.5 Goals Scored 3.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Cristal W

(Home)
20 Sept
Sporting Cristal W
0 : 2
A. Lima W
13 Sept
Carlos Mannucci W
1 : 2
Sporting Cristal W
05 Sept
Sporting Cristal W
3 : 0
UNSAAC W
29 Aug
Killas W
0 : 4
Sporting Cristal W
22 Aug
Sporting Cristal W
0 : 2
Atl. Andahuaylas W
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FBC Melgar W

(Away)
27 Sept
A. Lima W
1 : 0
FBC Melgar W
18 Sept
FBC Melgar W
2 : 1
Carlos Mannucci W
11 Sept
Atl. Andahuaylas W
1 : 5
FBC Melgar W
04 Sept
FBC Melgar W
1 : 0
Killas W
30 Aug
UNSAAC W
1 : 3
FBC Melgar W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Universitario de Deportes W -
TBD -
A. Lima W 4
Yanapuma W 1
Atl. Andahuaylas W -
TBD -
Sporting Cristal W 8
FBC Melgar W 1
Semi-finals
Universitario de Deportes W 3
A. Lima W 1
Atl. Andahuaylas W 3
Sporting Cristal W 6
Final
Universitario de Deportes W 5
Sporting Cristal W 3