Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Cristal W vs UNSAAC W

Peru Peru

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Cristal W play UNSAAC W in the Liga Women 2025. Sporting Cristal W are favorites here. Recently, Sporting Cristal W averaged 2.57 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. UNSAAC W averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Sporting Cristal W won 4, UNSAAC W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 21, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Sporting Cristal W and 0.94 for UNSAAC W. This points to a Sporting Cristal W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Sporting Cristal W
15%
Draws
24%
UNSAAC W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cristal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Sporting Cristal W picked up more points recently compared to UNSAAC W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Sporting Cristal W Clean Sheet 24%
UNSAAC W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Cristal W UNSAAC W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.57 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Liga Women
UNSAAC W vs Sporting Cristal W
0:1
Aug 22, 2025 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs UNSAAC W
3:0
Apr 18, 2025 Liga Women
UNSAAC W vs Sporting Cristal W
1:2
May 11, 2024 Liga Women
Sporting Cristal W vs UNSAAC W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Cristal W 60 / 100
UNSAAC W 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Cristal W UNSAAC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cristal W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Sporting Cristal W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sporting Cristal W attacking → ← attacking UNSAAC W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Cristal W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

UNSAAC W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Sporting Cristal W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

UNSAAC W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 30
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1A. Lima W11100136:630
2Universitario de Deportes W1190243:627
3Sporting Cristal W1172228:923
4Carlos Mannucci W1172228:1323
5UNSAAC W1161422:1319
6FBC Melgar W1153314:1618
7Flamengo FBC W1143414:1615
8Biavo W1131710:3210
9Cesar Vallejo W1122711:258
10Killas W111379:296
11Real Ancash W1120915:406
12Defensores W1111911:364