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Sporting da Brava vs Academica do Mindelo

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2017 game between Sporting da Brava and Academica do Mindelo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting da Brava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sporting da Brava
35%
Draws
32%
Academica do Mindelo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting da Brava haven't matched Academica do Mindelo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Academica do Mindelo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sporting da Brava Clean Sheet 13%
Academica do Mindelo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting da Brava Academica do Mindelo
Matches Played 25 24
Wins 7 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.08 2
Goals Conceded 2 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Academica do Mindelo vs Sporting da Brava
2:1
May 20, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting da Brava vs Academica do Mindelo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting da Brava 22 / 100
Academica do Mindelo 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting da Brava Academica do Mindelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Academica do Mindelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting da Brava found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (25 games).

Academica do Mindelo let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sporting da Brava has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sporting da Brava VS Academica do Mindelo
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting da Brava

(Home)
12 May
Santo Crucifixo
3 : 0
Sporting da Brava
04 May
Sporting da Brava
3 : 2
Academico 83
27 Apr
Ultramarina
2 : 2
Sporting da Brava
20 Apr
Sporting da Brava
2 : 2
Ultramarina
13 Apr
Sporting da Brava
2 : 1
Santo Crucifixo
Page 1 of 5

Academica do Mindelo

(Away)
08 Jul
Academica do Mindelo
1 : 2
Palmeira
01 Jul
Vulcanico Clube
3 : 6
Academica do Mindelo
24 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Vulcanico Clube
11 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 2
Morabeza
04 Jun
Figueirense
1 : 4
Academica do Mindelo
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ultramarina 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Onze Unidos 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
3 AJAC da Calheta 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
4 Vulcanico 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 6 4 1 1 8:3 13
2 Academica Porto Novo 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 Academico do Sal 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
4 Paulense 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 6 4 2 0 8:1 14
2 Academica do Mindelo 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
3 Sporting da Brava 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 Sport Sal-Rei 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams