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Sporting da Brava vs FC Derby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2016
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AI Match Summary

FC Derby in this Campeonato Nacional 2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Derby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sporting da Brava
30%
Draws
33%
FC Derby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting da Brava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • FC Derby have won more games recently than Sporting da Brava.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sporting da Brava Clean Sheet 18%
FC Derby Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting da Brava FC Derby
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.96 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2016 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting da Brava vs FC Derby
0:1
Apr 27, 2014 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting da Brava vs FC Derby
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting da Brava 32 / 100
FC Derby 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting da Brava FC Derby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting da Brava found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (24 games).

FC Derby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Sporting da Brava stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting da Brava VS FC Derby
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting da Brava

(Home)
12 May
Santo Crucifixo
3 : 0
Sporting da Brava
04 May
Sporting da Brava
3 : 2
Academico 83
27 Apr
Ultramarina
2 : 2
Sporting da Brava
20 Apr
Sporting da Brava
2 : 2
Ultramarina
13 Apr
Sporting da Brava
2 : 1
Santo Crucifixo
Page 1 of 5

FC Derby

(Away)
13 Jul
Boavista da Praia
2 : 1
FC Derby
29 Jun
FC Derby
4 : 1
Academico do Sal
22 Jun
Academico do Sal
1 : 0
FC Derby
15 Jun
FC Derby
0 : 0
Boavista da Praia
09 Jun
Ultramarina
1 : 2
FC Derby
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Derby 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
2 GD Varandinha 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Desportivo Praia 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
4 Sporting da Brava 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
5 SC Atletico 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
6 Sinagoga 5 0 2 3 4:10 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 5 3 2 0 11:3 11
2 Academica Porto Novo 5 3 2 0 6:1 11
3 Academico do Sal 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
4 Academico 83 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
5 Sport Sal-Rei 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
6 Vulcanico 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2016 (Play Offs)