Sport Picks
Sporting da Brava vs FC Derby
Cape Verde
Campeonato Nacional 2016 
AI Match Summary
Sporting da Brava play FC Derby in the Campeonato Nacional 2016. FC Derby are favorites here. Recently, Sporting da Brava averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. FC Derby averaged 1.47 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Sporting da Brava won 0, FC Derby won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 28, 2016 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Sporting da Brava and 1.31 for FC Derby. This points to a FC Derby double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sporting da Brava picked up more points recently compared to FC Derby.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.31 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting da Brava | FC Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.96 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting da Brava scored in 63% of their last 24 games.
FC Derby let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Sporting da Brava went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
FC Derby lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Derby | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 13 |
| 2 | GD Varandinha | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Desportivo Praia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Sporting da Brava | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 5 | SC Atletico | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 4 |
| 6 | Sinagoga | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mindelense | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 11 |
| 2 | Academica Porto Novo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 11 |
| 3 | Academico do Sal | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Academico 83 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 5 | Sport Sal-Rei | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Vulcanico | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 3 |