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Sporting FC vs Alajuelense

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Navarro J.
35'
Perez C.
36'
Matarrita R.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Sporting FC and Alajuelense finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alajuelense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Sporting FC
15%
Draws
31%
Alajuelense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Alajuelense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sporting FC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 68%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting FC Alajuelense
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.35 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Alajuelense
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Alajuelense
0:2
Feb 16, 2026 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Sporting FC
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Primera Division
Alajuelense vs Sporting FC
2:0
Jul 28, 2025 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Alajuelense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Alajuelense Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vargas K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 86 / 100
Alajuelense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting FC Alajuelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sporting FC scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Alajuelense conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Sporting FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting FC VS Alajuelense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3
Sporting FC
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Alajuelense

(Away)
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2
Alajuelense
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)