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Sporting FC vs Cartagines - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division Estadio Puente de Piedra, Grecia
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting FC host Cartagines in the Primera Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Cartagines have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Sporting FC have conceded 1.2 and scored 1.33. Past meetings favor Sporting FC slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.69) point toward Sporting FC. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sporting FC
15%
Draws
39%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cartagines come out ahead of Sporting FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sporting FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 13%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting FC Cartagines
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.33 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Sporting FC
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Cartagines
2:3
Feb 12, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Cartagines vs Sporting FC
1:2
Feb 4, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Sporting FC vs Cartagines
4:1
Jan 30, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Sporting FC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 48 / 100
Cartagines 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting FC Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagines's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sporting FC scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Sporting FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting FC VS Cartagines
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3
Sporting FC
Page 1 of 6

Cartagines

(Away)
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saprissa 9 7 0 2 20:10 21
2 Cartagines 9 6 0 3 18:10 18
3 Sporting FC 9 5 2 2 16:8 17
4 San Carlos 9 5 0 4 8:9 15
5 Alajuelense 9 4 2 3 15:10 14
6 Inter San Carlos 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
7 Puntarenas FC 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
8 Zeledon 9 2 2 5 7:14 8
9 Herediano 9 2 1 6 8:14 7
10 Escorpiones 9 1 1 7 6:15 4
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)