Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting FC vs Cartagines

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Copa Costa Rica Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Navarro J.
21' Event
Gaete J.
57' Event
Ramirez D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sporting FC
15%
Draws
39%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cartagines lately — more wins on the board than Sporting FC.
  • Win probability leans Sporting FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Cartagines arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cartagines, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 68%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting FC Cartagines
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 16
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Sporting FC
2:1
Apr 3, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Cartagines
2:3
Feb 12, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Cartagines vs Sporting FC
1:2
Feb 4, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Sporting FC vs Cartagines
4:1
Jan 30, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Sporting FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinoza K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Navarro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Cartagines Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaete J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 59 / 100
Cartagines 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting FC Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagines let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Sporting FC's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sporting FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting FC VS Cartagines
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3
Sporting FC
Page 1 of 7

Cartagines

(Away)
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Alajuelense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
ADR Cobano 4
Liberia 8
AD Rosario 1
ADR Jicaral 3
Saprissa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter San Carlos 1
Carmelita 3
San Carlos 1
Cariari Pococi 2
Herediano -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quepos FC 2
Zeledon 5
Escorpiones 3
Puntarenas FC 4
Sporting FC 3
CS Uruguay 0
Aserri 5
Guadalupe 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cartagines -
1/8-finals
Alajuelense -
TBD -
Liberia 1
ADR Jicaral 0
Saprissa -
TBD -
Carmelita 3
Cariari Pococi 1
Herediano -
TBD -
Zeledon 1
Puntarenas FC 2
Sporting FC 7
Guadalupe 2
TBD -
Cartagines -
Quarter-finals
Alajuelense 1
Liberia 4
Saprissa 10
Carmelita 2
Herediano 1
Puntarenas FC 3
Sporting FC 6
Cartagines 2
Semi-finals
Liberia 2
Saprissa 6
Puntarenas FC 2
Sporting FC 3
Final
Saprissa 3
Sporting FC 1