Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting FC vs Liberia

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Padilla S.
36'
Sub
Chevez A. In: Francis W.
Out: Chevez A.
44'
Soto A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Sporting FC and Liberia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liberia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sporting FC
15%
Draws
39%
Liberia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting FC's 1.29 goals per match outpaces what Liberia have produced (1.17).
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Sporting FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Liberia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 68%
Liberia Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting FC Liberia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Liberia
0:1
Mar 2, 2026 Primera Division
Liberia vs Sporting FC
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Liberia
3:0
Sep 7, 2025 Primera Division
Liberia vs Sporting FC
2:1
Mar 8, 2025 Primera Division
Liberia vs Sporting FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39

Liberia Compare

Top Goalscorer Arevalo T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 77 / 100
Liberia 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting FC Liberia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting FC found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Liberia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sporting FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting FC VS Liberia
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.8
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
29 Aug
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Inter San Carlos
23 Aug
Herediano
0 : 3
Sporting FC
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Liberia

(Away)
10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0
Liberia
03 May
Liberia
1 : 1
Saprissa
26 Apr
Liberia
2 : 1
Alajuelense
22 Apr
Sporting FC
0 : 1
Liberia
18 Apr
Liberia
1 : 0
Cartagines
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)