Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting FC vs Miguelense

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2
Sporting FC Logo

Sporting FC

4 - 1
FT
Miguelense Logo

Miguelense

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
19'
27' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sporting FC in this Alagoano 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Sporting FC
15%
Draws
27%
Miguelense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting FC have won more games recently than Miguelense.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Sporting FC taking it.
  • Regular Alagoano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sporting FC have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 20%
Miguelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting FC Miguelense
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.5 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Alagoano 2
Sporting FC vs Miguelense
2:0
May 10, 2026 Alagoano 2
Miguelense vs Sporting FC
0:3
Apr 19, 2026 Alagoano 2
Sporting FC vs Miguelense
4:1
Apr 16, 2017 Alagoano
Sporting FC vs Miguelense
3:1
Mar 29, 2017 Alagoano
Miguelense vs Sporting FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 85 / 100
Miguelense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting FC Miguelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Sporting FC has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Sporting FC scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Miguelense conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting FC VS Miguelense
2.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting FC

(Home)
31 May
Sporting FC
2 : 2
Zumbi
24 May
Zumbi
0 : 2
Sporting FC
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Sporting FC
3 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
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Miguelense

(Away)
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Miguelense
4 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zumbi 5 4 1 0 8:1 13
2 Sporting FC 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
3 Miguelense 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
4 Alianca 5 2 1 2 18:11 7
5 Jacioba 5 0 1 4 0:13 1
6 Sao Domingos AL 5 0 1 4 2:16 1
Promotion - Alagoano 2 (Play Offs)