Sport Picks

Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Ernesto Rohrmoser Lahmann

Sporting FC

1 - 2

Puntarenas FC

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Espinoza K.

43'

Segura U.

46'

Sub

Bolanos R. In: Batiz J.

Out: Bolanos R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Sporting FC and Puntarenas FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puntarenas FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Sporting FC

20%

Draws

38%

Puntarenas FC

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Sporting FC come out ahead of Puntarenas FC on wins alone.
Win probability leans Sporting FC's way, sitting at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Sporting FC Clean Sheet 20%

Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sporting FC	Puntarenas FC
Matches Played	33	31
Wins	12	7
Draws	9	10
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	1.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division

Puntarenas FC vs Sporting FC

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 4 - 0

1:2

Mar 29, 2026 Copa Costa Rica

Puntarenas FC vs Sporting FC

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Mar 25, 2026 Copa Costa Rica

Sporting FC vs Puntarenas FC

Possession: 60% - 45% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division

Sporting FC vs Puntarenas FC

Possession: 58% - 43% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Nov 30, 2025 Primera Division

Puntarenas FC vs Sporting FC

Possession: 48% - 46% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer George M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Puntarenas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Segura U.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cole R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 42 / 100

Puntarenas FC 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sporting FC Puntarenas FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Puntarenas FC conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Puntarenas FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sporting FC scored in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sporting FC VS Puntarenas FC

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Herediano	18	12	2	4	26:10	38
2	Saprissa	18	10	4	4	34:19	34
3	Liberia	18	10	3	5	24:18	33
4	Cartagines	18	10	2	6	26:20	32
5	Alajuelense	18	7	5	6	28:20	26
6	Sporting FC	18	6	4	8	16:21	22
7	San Carlos	18	6	3	9	21:25	21
8	Puntarenas FC	18	4	4	10	22:29	16
9	Zeledon	18	2	8	8	19:30	14
10	Guadalupe	18	3	5	10	13:37	14