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Sporting FC vs Saprissa

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Copa Costa Rica Estadio Edgardo Baltodano Briceno, Liberia
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Rojas A.
45' Event
Escobar F.
45'
Marin D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Saprissa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sporting FC
28%
Draws
50%
Saprissa
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Saprissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saprissa come out ahead of Sporting FC on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Saprissa taking it.
  • Saprissa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Saprissa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sporting FC Clean Sheet 10%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting FC Saprissa
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Copa Costa Rica
Sporting FC vs Saprissa
1:3
Mar 6, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Sporting FC
1:2
Jan 23, 2026 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Saprissa
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Primera Division
Sporting FC vs Saprissa
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Sporting FC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Escobar F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paradela L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting FC 22 / 100
Saprissa 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting FC Saprissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saprissa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Sporting FC's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sporting FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sporting FC VS Saprissa
0.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting FC

(Home)
07 Jul
Atletico San Luis
4 : 0
Sporting FC
26 Apr
Herediano
0 : 0
Sporting FC
22 Apr
Sporting FC
0 : 1
Liberia
19 Apr
Puntarenas FC
1 : 2
Sporting FC
16 Apr
Sporting FC
1 : 3
Saprissa
Page 1 of 6

Saprissa

(Away)
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0
Liberia
03 May
Liberia
1 : 1
Saprissa
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Alajuelense-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
ADR Cobano4
Liberia8
AD Rosario1
ADR Jicaral3
Saprissa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Inter San Carlos1
Carmelita3
San Carlos1
Cariari Pococi2
Herediano-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quepos FC2
Zeledon5
Escorpiones3
Puntarenas FC4
Sporting FC3
CS Uruguay0
Aserri5
Guadalupe6
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cartagines-
1/8-finals
Alajuelense-
TBD-
Liberia1
ADR Jicaral0
Saprissa-
TBD-
Carmelita3
Cariari Pococi1
Herediano-
TBD-
Zeledon1
Puntarenas FC2
Sporting FC7
Guadalupe2
TBD-
Cartagines-
Quarter-finals
Alajuelense1
Liberia4
Saprissa10
Carmelita2
Herediano1
Puntarenas FC3
Sporting FC6
Cartagines2
Semi-finals
Liberia2
Saprissa6
Puntarenas FC2
Sporting FC3
Final
Saprissa3
Sporting FC1