Sport Picks
Sporting Jax vs Charleston
USA
USL Championship Hodges Stadium, Jacksonville, FL 
Match Events
12'
12'
Foster M.
14'
14'
Kelly J.
Assist: Berry M.
19'
19'
Berry M.
Assist: Swan C.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Sporting Jax and Charleston finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charleston.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Charleston
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Charleston come out ahead of Sporting Jax on wins alone.
- Model gives Charleston a 51% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Charleston have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%
Charleston Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Jax | Charleston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 4 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.44 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 USL Championship
Sporting Jax vs Charleston
2:5
May 2, 2026 USL Championship
Charleston vs Sporting Jax
4:0
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Sporting Jax vs Charleston
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Jax Compare
Top Goalscorer Kuzain W.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Charleston Compare
Top Goalscorer Berry M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Foster M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Jax 22 / 100
Charleston 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Jax Charleston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charleston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.
Sporting Jax's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Defensive concern: Charleston conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Sporting Jax has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Jax VS Charleston
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Jax
(Home) 05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
29 Aug
Brooklyn FC
4 : 1 Sporting Jax
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3 Sporting Jax
15 Aug
Sporting Jax
0 : 1 Indy Eleven
02 Aug
Sacramento Republic
5 : 0 Sporting Jax
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
15 Aug
Sporting Jax
0 : 1 Indy Eleven
18 Jul
Sporting Jax
2 : 2 Brooklyn FC
15 Jul
Sporting Jax
2 : 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
20 Jun
Sporting Jax
2 : 5 Charleston
Page 1 of 3
Charleston
(Away) 02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
24 Aug
Charleston
5 : 0 Miami FC
15 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Charleston
08 Aug
Loudoun United
0 : 1 Charleston
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
15 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Charleston
08 Aug
Loudoun United
0 : 1 Charleston
26 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 1 Charleston
04 Jul
Indy Eleven
2 : 0 Charleston
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 41:23 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 49:31 | 40 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 28:25 | 38 |
| 4 | Detroit City | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 28:18 | 37 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 24:23 | 34 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 38:37 | 33 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 30 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 31:24 | 29 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 28:42 | 24 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 26:40 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 28:34 | 19 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 23:39 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 30:60 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Mexico | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 33:23 | 41 |
| 2 | El Paso Locomotive | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39:29 | 40 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:37 | 37 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 26:19 | 36 |
| 5 | Orange County SC | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 34:32 | 36 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 29:28 | 36 |
| 7 | Sacramento Republic | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:20 | 33 |
| 8 | Lexington | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:29 | 31 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 29:34 | 29 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 28:31 | 27 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25:42 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
