Sport Picks
Sporting Jax vs Lexington
USA
USL Championship Hodges Stadium, Jacksonville, FL 
Match Events
19'
19'
Sadlier K.
Assist: Jean Mota
60'
60'
Rossiter J.
69'
69'
Sub
Nick Firmino In: Yosef M.
Out: Nick Firmino
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Sporting Jax and Lexington finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Jax.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Jax
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lexington come out ahead of Sporting Jax on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Sporting Jax's way, sitting at 42%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 11%
Lexington Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Jax | Lexington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.39 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 USL Championship
Sporting Jax vs Lexington
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Jax Compare
Top Goalscorer Sadlier K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jaaskelainen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Lexington Compare
Top Goalscorer Epps M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zengue X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Jax 40 / 100
Lexington 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Jax Lexington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Sporting Jax scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Lexington has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Lexington's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Jax VS Lexington
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Jax
(Home) 05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
29 Aug
Brooklyn FC
4 : 1 Sporting Jax
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3 Sporting Jax
15 Aug
Sporting Jax
0 : 1 Indy Eleven
02 Aug
Sacramento Republic
5 : 0 Sporting Jax
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
15 Aug
Sporting Jax
0 : 1 Indy Eleven
18 Jul
Sporting Jax
2 : 2 Brooklyn FC
15 Jul
Sporting Jax
2 : 1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
20 Jun
Sporting Jax
2 : 5 Charleston
Page 1 of 3
Lexington
(Away) 05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
29 Aug
Lexington
0 : 1 Colorado Springs
27 Aug
New Mexico
2 : 1 Lexington
22 Aug
Lexington
2 : 0 Las Vegas Lights
16 Aug
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0 Lexington
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
27 Aug
New Mexico
2 : 1 Lexington
16 Aug
Sacramento Republic
1 : 0 Lexington
26 Jul
FC Tulsa
0 : 0 Lexington
12 Jul
Louisville City
4 : 2 Lexington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 41:23 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 49:31 | 40 |
| 3 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 28:25 | 38 |
| 4 | Detroit City | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 28:19 | 37 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 24:23 | 34 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 33 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34:24 | 32 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28:28 | 30 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 28:42 | 24 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 26:40 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 28:34 | 19 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 23:39 | 17 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 30:63 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 41:30 | 43 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 33:23 | 41 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:37 | 37 |
| 4 | FC Tulsa | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 27:21 | 36 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 30:20 | 36 |
| 6 | San Antonio FC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 29:28 | 36 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 34:34 | 36 |
| 8 | Lexington | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 37:30 | 34 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:32 | 33 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 31:34 | 32 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 29:35 | 27 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25:42 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
