Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Jax W vs Carolina Ascent W

USA USA

USL Super League Women 2025/2026 Hodges Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
George M.
Assist: Parker R.
45'
Corbin M.
61'
Sub
Boyan A. In: Roberts P.
Out: Boyan A.

AI Match Summary

The USL Super League Women 2025/2026 game between Sporting Jax W and Carolina Ascent W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carolina Ascent W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Sporting Jax W
11%
Draws
80%
Carolina Ascent W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Carolina Ascent W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Sporting Jax W's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what Carolina Ascent W have produced (1.63).
  • Model gives Carolina Ascent W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sporting Jax W Clean Sheet 19%
Carolina Ascent W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Jax W Carolina Ascent W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 16 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 USL Super League Women
Sporting Jax W vs Carolina Ascent W
0:1
May 16, 2026 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Sporting Jax W
3:1
Jan 31, 2026 USL Super League Women
Sporting Jax W vs Carolina Ascent W
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 USL Super League Women
Carolina Ascent W vs Sporting Jax W
3:4
Sep 13, 2025 USL Super League Women
Sporting Jax W vs Carolina Ascent W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Jax W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Carolina Ascent W Compare

Top Goalscorer George M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Jax W 12 / 100
Carolina Ascent W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Jax W Carolina Ascent W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Jax W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Carolina Ascent W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Sporting Jax W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Jax W VS Carolina Ascent W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Lexington W2
Dallas Trinity W0
Sporting Jax W0
Carolina Ascent W1
Final
Lexington W3
Carolina Ascent W1