Sport Picks
Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls
USA
MLS Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, KS 
Match Events
3'
3'
Ruvalcaba J.
Assist: Berggren G.
19'
19'
Sub
Cowell C. In: Mosquera R.
Out: Cowell C.
45'
45'
Marshall-Rutty J.
AI Match Summary
New York Red Bulls in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored New York Red Bulls.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to New York Red Bulls lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Kansas City.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sporting Kansas City Clean Sheet 10%
New York Red Bulls Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Kansas City | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.75 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.75 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City
1:1
Jul 4, 2022 MLS
Sporting Kansas City vs New York Red Bulls
0:1
Apr 18, 2021 MLS
New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City
1:2
Feb 22, 2020 Visit Tucson Sun Cup
New York Red Bulls vs Sporting Kansas City
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Kansas City Compare
Top Goalscorer Harris C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
New York Red Bulls Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruvalcaba J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Kansas City 34 / 100
New York Red Bulls 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Kansas City New York Red Bulls
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NYR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New York Red Bulls let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Sporting Kansas City scored in 59% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Sporting Kansas City stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Kansas City VS New York Red Bulls
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Kansas City
(Home) 17 Jul
St. Louis City
3 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
24 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2 New York Red Bulls
17 May
Austin FC
1 : 2 Sporting Kansas City
14 May
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1 Los Angeles Galaxy
10 May
Portland Timbers
6 : 0 Sporting Kansas City
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2 New York Red Bulls
14 May
Sporting Kansas City
3 : 1 Los Angeles Galaxy
02 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 1 Seattle Sounders
12 Apr
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 3 San Jose Earthquakes
22 Mar
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 4 Colorado Rapids
Page 1 of 4
New York Red Bulls
(Away) 24 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2 New York Red Bulls
16 May
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1 New York City
13 May
New York Red Bulls
3 : 2 Columbus Crew
09 May
Chicago Fire
1 : 3 New York Red Bulls
02 May
New York Red Bulls
0 : 2 FC Dallas
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Sporting Kansas City
1 : 2 New York Red Bulls
09 May
Chicago Fire
1 : 3 New York Red Bulls
25 Apr
FC Cincinnati
2 : 0 New York Red Bulls
18 Apr
CF Montreal
4 : 1 New York Red Bulls
11 Apr
Inter Miami
2 : 2 New York Red Bulls
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 34:12 | 32 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 34:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:17 | 27 |
| 4 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 30:22 | 25 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 18:16 | 24 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 19:23 | 22 |
| 8 | Minnesota United | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:22 | 22 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 10 | St. Louis City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 27:29 | 17 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 30:27 | 17 |
| 13 | Colorado Rapids | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 25:24 | 16 |
| 14 | Austin FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:31 | 14 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 16:39 | 11 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 32:11 | 36 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 39:28 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:32 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:23 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 36:37 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 19 |
| 9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:23 | 16 |
| 11 | CF Montreal | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 22:31 | 15 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 22:29 | 15 |
| 13 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:44 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 14:24 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 18:30 | 7 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)