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Sporting Lagos vs Bendel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Lagos host Bendel in the NPFL. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Sporting Lagos at 1.62 goals for, 0.9 against; Bendel at 1.52 for, 1.24 against. Head-to-head, Sporting Lagos have won 1 to Bendel's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 18, 2024, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.50, favoring Sporting Lagos. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sporting Lagos
30%
Draws
42%
Bendel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bendel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Bendel haven't matched Sporting Lagos's recent run of results.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NPFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sporting Lagos Clean Sheet 16%
Bendel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Lagos Bendel
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.62 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 NPFL
Sporting Lagos vs Bendel
1:0
Jan 20, 2024 NPFL
Bendel vs Sporting Lagos
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Lagos 36 / 100
Bendel 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Lagos Bendel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bendel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Lagos scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Bendel has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Sporting Lagos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Lagos VS Bendel
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Lagos

(Home)
03 Oct
Kano Pillars
1 : 1
Sporting Lagos
30 Sept
Sporting Lagos
0 : 0
Ikorodu City
26 Sept
Sporting Lagos
1 : 1
Barau
23 Sept
Enyimba International
2 : 3
Sporting Lagos
20 Sept
Sporting Lagos
0 : 2
Abia Warriors
Page 1 of 6

Bendel

(Away)
04 Oct
Bendel
4 : 1
Barau
27 Sept
Abia Warriors
3 : 0
Bendel
23 Sept
Bendel
2 : 1
Ikorodu City
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2 : 1
Bendel
13 Sept
Bendel
4 : 2
Kun Khalifa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 7 5 1 1 12:7 16
2 Rivers United 7 4 3 0 13:2 15
3 Doma United 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
4 Barau 7 3 3 1 10:7 12
5 Bendel 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
6 Plateau United 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
7 Kano Pillars 6 2 4 0 11:7 10
8 Kwara 7 3 1 3 9:7 10
9 Ikorodu City 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
10 Sporting Lagos 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
11 Katsina Utd 7 2 3 2 6:9 9
12 Niger Tornadoes 7 2 2 3 6:7 8
13 Nasarawa United 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
14 Abia Warriors 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
15 Enyimba International 7 2 1 4 9:10 7
16 Ranchers Bees 7 2 1 4 9:10 7
17 Shooting 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
18 Warri Wolves 7 2 1 4 3:6 7
19 Inter Lagos 7 1 2 4 4:10 5
20 Kun Khalifa 7 1 2 4 5:14 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)