Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Liesti vs Miercurea Ciuc

Romania Romania

Romanian Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Nastase T.
31'
Loeper W.
57' Event
Loeper W.

AI Match Summary

Miercurea Ciuc in this Romanian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sporting Liesti
15%
Draws
21%
Miercurea Ciuc
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Liesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting Liesti lately — more wins on the board than Miercurea Ciuc.
  • Win probability leans Sporting Liesti's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sporting Liesti have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Miercurea Ciuc, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Miercurea Ciuc have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 14%
Miercurea Ciuc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Liesti Miercurea Ciuc
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 18 11
Draws 1 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.55 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Romanian Cup
Sporting Liesti vs Miercurea Ciuc
0:5
Apr 6, 2018 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Miercurea Ciuc vs Sporting Liesti
3:0
Sep 30, 2017 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Sporting Liesti vs Miercurea Ciuc
0:2
Apr 5, 2017 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Miercurea Ciuc vs Sporting Liesti
2:0
Oct 8, 2016 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Sporting Liesti vs Miercurea Ciuc
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Liesti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Miercurea Ciuc Compare

Top Goalscorer Loeper W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eppel M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Liesti 84 / 100
Miercurea Ciuc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Liesti Miercurea Ciuc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Liesti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Liesti found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Miercurea Ciuc has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sporting Liesti has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Liesti VS Miercurea Ciuc
3 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Liesti

(Home)
26 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 1
Otelul 2
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Sporting Liesti
5 : 4
Inainte Modelu
12 Sept
Agigea
2 : 0
Sporting Liesti
05 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 0
Portul Constanta
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Miercurea Ciuc

(Away)
21 Sept
Petrolul
2 : 0
Miercurea Ciuc
11 Sept
Miercurea Ciuc
1 : 3
Dinamo Bucuresti
05 Sept
FC UTA Arad
5 : 1
Miercurea Ciuc
02 Sept
Gloria Bistrita
0 : 2
Miercurea Ciuc
29 Aug
Miercurea Ciuc
2 : 3
CFR Cluj
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campionii Arges 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 CFR Cluj 3 1 2 0 7:3 5
3 Rapid Bucuresti 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
4 CSC Dumbravita 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
5 Metaloglobus Bucharest 3 0 2 1 6:7 2
6 CSM Slatina 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Univ. Craiova 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Gloria Bistrita 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 FC UTA Arad 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Petrolul 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
5 FCSB 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
6 Sanatatea Cluj 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Universitatea Cluj 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Metalul Buzau 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Otelul 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
4 Miercurea Ciuc 3 1 1 1 6:2 4
5 Sepsi 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
6 Sporting Liesti 3 0 1 2 7:15 1
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 FC Hermannstadt 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Farul Constanta 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
4 FC Botosani 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
5 Concordia 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
6 CS Din. Bucuresti 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)