Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Ciobanu A.
36'
36'
Voinea P.
38'
38'
Zivulic D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Romanian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-3. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
20%
20%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Liesti
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
60%
/ High Confidence
- Sporting Liesti have won more games recently than Otelul.
- Model gives Sporting Liesti a 60% chance of winning this.
- Sporting Liesti have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Otelul, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 14%
Otelul Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Liesti | Otelul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.55 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 28, 2025 Romanian Cup
Sporting Liesti vs Otelul
3:3
Oct 30, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Otelul vs Sporting Liesti
3:1
Aug 28, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sporting Liesti vs Otelul
2:1
Aug 11, 2021 Romanian Cup
Sporting Liesti vs Otelul
0:4
Apr 24, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Otelul vs Sporting Liesti
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Liesti Compare
Top Goalscorer Voinea P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Costea V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Otelul Compare
Top Goalscorer Ciobanu A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pedro N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Liesti 84 / 100
Otelul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Liesti Otelul
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting Liesti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Liesti found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Sporting Liesti remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Otelul conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Liesti VS Otelul
2 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Liesti
(Home) 19 Aug
ACS USV Iasi
1 : 2 Sporting Liesti
12 Aug
Adjud
2 : 4 Sporting Liesti
05 Aug
Unirea Branistea
2 : 4 Sporting Liesti
23 May
Stiinta Miroslava
2 : 3 Sporting Liesti
16 May
Sporting Liesti
2 : 0 Viitorul Onesti
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16 May
Sporting Liesti
2 : 0 Viitorul Onesti
02 May
Sporting Liesti
1 : 2 Soimii Gura Humorului
25 Apr
Sporting Liesti
4 : 0 Stiinta Miroslava
10 Apr
Sporting Liesti
1 : 6 Cetatea Suceava
28 Mar
Sporting Liesti
2 : 0 Blejoi
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Otelul
(Away) 24 Aug
Otelul
1 : 0 Campionii Arges
19 Aug
Concordia
5 : 1 Otelul
16 Aug
Otelul
1 : 1 Univ. Craiova
09 Aug
Petrolul
1 : 0 Otelul
31 Jul
Otelul
1 : 1 Dinamo Bucuresti
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19 Aug
Concordia
5 : 1 Otelul
09 Aug
Petrolul
1 : 0 Otelul
24 Jul
FC UTA Arad
2 : 2 Otelul
03 Jul
Farul Constanta
0 : 0 Otelul
18 May
Petrolul
1 : 5 Otelul
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campionii Arges | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | CFR Cluj | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Rapid Bucuresti | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 4 |
| 4 | CSC Dumbravita | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Metaloglobus Bucharest | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | 2 |
| 6 | CSM Slatina | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Univ. Craiova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gloria Bistrita | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 3 | FC UTA Arad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Petrolul | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 5 | FCSB | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Sanatatea Cluj | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitatea Cluj | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Metalul Buzau | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Otelul | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Miercurea Ciuc | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 |
| 5 | Sepsi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 6 | Sporting Liesti | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7:15 | 1 |
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 2 | FC Hermannstadt | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Farul Constanta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 5 |
| 4 | FC Botosani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Concordia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 6 | CS Din. Bucuresti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
