Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Ciobanu A.
36'
36'
Voinea P.
38'
38'
Zivulic D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Romanian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-3. Extra time or penalties follow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sporting Liesti have won more games recently than Otelul.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Sporting Liesti have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Otelul, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 11%
Otelul Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Liesti | Otelul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 28, 2025 Romanian Cup
Sporting Liesti vs Otelul
3:3
Oct 30, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Otelul vs Sporting Liesti
3:1
Aug 28, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sporting Liesti vs Otelul
2:1
Aug 11, 2021 Romanian Cup
Sporting Liesti vs Otelul
0:4
Apr 24, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Otelul vs Sporting Liesti
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Liesti Compare
Top Goalscorer Voinea P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Costea V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Otelul Compare
Top Goalscorer Ciobanu A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pedro N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Liesti 29 / 100
Otelul 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Liesti Otelul
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Sporting Liesti found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Otelul conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Solid form: Sporting Liesti remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Liesti VS Otelul
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Liesti
(Home) 23 May
Stiinta Miroslava
2 : 3 Sporting Liesti
16 May
Sporting Liesti
2 : 0 Viitorul Onesti
08 May
Cetatea Suceava
3 : 1 Sporting Liesti
02 May
Sporting Liesti
1 : 2 Soimii Gura Humorului
25 Apr
Sporting Liesti
4 : 0 Stiinta Miroslava
Page 1 of 6
16 May
Sporting Liesti
2 : 0 Viitorul Onesti
02 May
Sporting Liesti
1 : 2 Soimii Gura Humorului
25 Apr
Sporting Liesti
4 : 0 Stiinta Miroslava
10 Apr
Sporting Liesti
1 : 6 Cetatea Suceava
28 Mar
Sporting Liesti
2 : 0 Blejoi
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Otelul
(Away) 31 Jul
Otelul
1 : 1 Dinamo Bucuresti
24 Jul
FC UTA Arad
2 : 2 Otelul
18 Jul
Otelul
2 : 1 CFR Cluj
11 Jul
Otelul
3 : 1 FC Bacau
03 Jul
Farul Constanta
0 : 0 Otelul
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
FC UTA Arad
2 : 2 Otelul
03 Jul
Farul Constanta
0 : 0 Otelul
18 May
Petrolul
1 : 5 Otelul
25 Apr
FC Botosani
1 : 1 Otelul
11 Apr
FCSB
4 : 0 Otelul
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campionii Arges | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | CFR Cluj | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Rapid Bucuresti | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 4 |
| 4 | CSC Dumbravita | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Metaloglobus Bucharest | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | 2 |
| 6 | CSM Slatina | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Univ. Craiova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gloria Bistrita | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 3 | FC UTA Arad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Petrolul | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 5 | FCSB | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Sanatatea Cluj | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitatea Cluj | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Metalul Buzau | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Otelul | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Miercurea Ciuc | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 |
| 5 | Sepsi | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 6 | Sporting Liesti | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7:15 | 1 |
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 2 | FC Hermannstadt | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Farul Constanta | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 5 |
| 4 | FC Botosani | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Concordia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 6 | CS Din. Bucuresti | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Romanian Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
