Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Liesti vs Portul Constanta

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 4 game between Sporting Liesti and Portul Constanta finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Liesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sporting Liesti
15%
Draws
0%
Portul Constanta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Liesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Liesti come out ahead of Portul Constanta on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Liesti taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 15%
Portul Constanta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Liesti Portul Constanta
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 17 14
Draws 1 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.59 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Sporting Liesti vs Portul Constanta
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Liesti 84 / 100
Portul Constanta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Liesti Portul Constanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Liesti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Liesti's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Portul Constanta registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Portul Constanta conceded in 64% of 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Liesti VS Portul Constanta
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Liesti

(Home)
03 Oct
Agricola Borcea
5 : 3
Sporting Liesti
26 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 1
Otelul 2
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Sporting Liesti
5 : 4
Inainte Modelu
12 Sept
Agigea
2 : 0
Sporting Liesti
Page 1 of 6

Portul Constanta

(Away)
02 Oct
Otelul 2
2 : 1
Portul Constanta
26 Sept
Portul Constanta
1 : 2
Calarasi
23 Sept
Inainte Modelu
4 : 3
Portul Constanta
19 Sept
Portul Constanta
0 : 1
Agigea
12 Sept
Portul Constanta
1 : 3
Unirea Branistea
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agricola Borcea 7 6 0 1 19:9 18
2 Agigea 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
3 Inainte Modelu 7 4 1 2 15:11 13
4 Axiopolis Cernavoda 7 4 1 2 15:12 13
5 Sporting Liesti 7 4 0 3 24:16 12
6 Progresul Fundulea 7 4 0 3 16:12 12
7 Recolta Gheorghe Doja 7 4 0 3 13:14 12
8 Calarasi 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
9 Unirea Branistea 7 3 0 4 13:12 9
10 Gloria Baneasa 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
11 Portul Constanta 7 1 0 6 11:18 3
12 Otelul 2 7 1 0 6 6:20 3
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 4 (Relegation Group)