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Sporting Macau vs Chiba

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mariojouls S.
12' Event
Mariojouls S.
19' Event
Mafus S.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2025 game between Sporting Macau and Chiba finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chiba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sporting Macau
20%
Draws
40%
Chiba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Chiba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chiba a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Elite League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Chiba have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Chiba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Macau Chiba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 9
Goals Scored 0.93 2.73
Goals Conceded 4.33 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2025 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Chiba
0:7
May 23, 2025 Elite League
Chiba vs Sporting Macau
5:0
May 3, 2025 Elite League
Chiba vs Sporting Macau
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Macau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Chiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariojouls S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira M. M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Macau 10 / 100
Chiba 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Macau Chiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:5
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.

Chiba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Chiba lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Macau scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Macau VS Chiba
1 Goals Scored 2.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Macau

(Home)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
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Chiba

(Away)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
19 Jul
Chiba
6 : 0
G. Universe
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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