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Sporting Macau vs Chuac Lun

Macao Macao

Elite League 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Macau in this Elite League 2015 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sporting Macau
15%
Draws
0%
Chuac Lun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Macau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sporting Macau have won more games recently than Chuac Lun.
  • Model gives Sporting Macau a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Elite League 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sporting Macau have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Chuac Lun Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Macau Chuac Lun
Matches Played 48 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 5
Losses 29 22
Goals Scored 1.42 0.63
Goals Conceded 3.23 3.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2016 Elite League
Chuac Lun vs Sporting Macau
0:2
Mar 12, 2016 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Chuac Lun
6:0
May 2, 2015 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Chuac Lun
3:1
Jan 31, 2015 Elite League
Chuac Lun vs Sporting Macau
1:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Macau 47 / 100
Chuac Lun 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Macau Chuac Lun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Macau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chuac Lun let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.25 goals when they meet.

Chuac Lun lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Macau found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (48 games).

Scoring Trends

Sporting Macau VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
4.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Macau

(Home)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
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Chuac Lun

(Away)
10 Jun
Chuac Lun
1 : 5
Lai Chi
27 May
Chuac Lun
0 : 2
Sporting Macau
19 May
Kei Lun
3 : 1
Chuac Lun
07 May
Chuac Lun
1 : 7
Monte Carlo
29 Apr
Policia
3 : 0
Chuac Lun
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 15 2 1 76:9 47
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 15 1 2 71:16 46
3 Must IPO 18 11 2 5 50:28 35
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 39:14 35
5 Sporting Macau 18 10 4 4 41:24 34
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 26:42 19
7 Policia 18 4 3 11 17:40 15
8 Chuac Lun 18 4 2 12 17:70 14
9 Casa de Portugal 18 3 3 12 22:66 12
10 Macau U23 18 0 1 17 8:58 1
Promotion - AFC Cup 2016 (Qualification)