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Sporting Macau vs Kei Lun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sporting Macau in this Elite League 2014 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sporting Macau
30%
Draws
39%
Kei Lun
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kei Lun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting Macau haven't matched Kei Lun's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Kei Lun a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Kei Lun Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Macau Kei Lun
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 1.03 2.03
Goals Conceded 4.18 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2017 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Kei Lun
2:2
Mar 9, 2017 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Sporting Macau
5:1
May 8, 2016 Elite League
Kei Lun vs Sporting Macau
1:3
Feb 28, 2016 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Kei Lun
7:0
Jun 4, 2014 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Kei Lun
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Macau 10 / 100
Kei Lun 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Macau Kei Lun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kei Lun Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kei Lun let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Sporting Macau found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (33 games).

Sporting Macau went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Macau VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
4.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Macau

(Home)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
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Kei Lun

(Away)
02 Jul
Policia
0 : 4
Kei Lun
24 Jun
Benfica
2 : 0
Kei Lun
16 Jun
Sporting Macau
2 : 2
Kei Lun
26 May
Must IPO
2 : 1
Kei Lun
12 May
Kei Lun
2 : 2
Monte Carlo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 16 13 2 1 63:5 41
2 Sporting Macau 16 12 2 2 41:11 38
3 Monte Carlo 16 11 3 2 56:19 36
4 Tak Chun Ka I 16 9 4 3 47:17 31
5 Policia 16 5 4 7 24:24 19
6 Must IPO 16 4 5 7 26:30 17
7 Lai Chi 16 4 1 11 26:52 13
8 Macau U23 16 3 0 13 10:63 9
9 Kei Lun 16 0 1 15 10:82 1
Promotion - Presidents Cup 2015 (Group Stage)