Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Macau vs Monte Carlo

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Pacheco R.
58' Event
Lacerda de Jesus A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Elite League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sporting Macau
20%
Draws
51%
Monte Carlo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Monte Carlo lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Macau.
  • Monte Carlo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Macau Monte Carlo
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 4 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 0.88 2.3
Goals Conceded 4.18 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau
2:0
May 12, 2024 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Monte Carlo
1:1
Mar 23, 2024 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau
1:1
Jul 9, 2023 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Monte Carlo
0:2
Apr 9, 2023 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacerda de Jesus A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Monte Carlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacheco R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Macau 10 / 100
Monte Carlo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Macau Monte Carlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Carlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monte Carlo has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sporting Macau scored in 45% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Sporting Macau remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Macau VS Monte Carlo
0.75 Goals Scored 1
5.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Macau

(Home)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
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Monte Carlo

(Away)
03 Aug
University of Macau
2 : 1
Monte Carlo
19 Jul
Monte Carlo
1 : 1
Gala
14 Jul
Monte Carlo
2 : 0
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
22 Jun
Monte Carlo
1 : 2
University of Macau
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