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Sporting Macau vs Toi Seng - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2023
Sporting Macau Logo

Sporting Macau

2 - 5
FT
Toi Seng Logo

Toi Seng

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Li J. Y.
28' Event
Li J. Y.
33' Event
Li J. Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Toi Seng in this Elite League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toi Seng.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sporting Macau
20%
Draws
40%
Toi Seng
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting Macau lately — more wins on the board than Toi Seng.
  • Model gives Toi Seng a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%
Toi Seng Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Macau Toi Seng
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 4 2
Draws 4 1
Losses 24 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.06
Goals Conceded 4.31 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2023 Elite League
Toi Seng vs Sporting Macau
3:3
Apr 22, 2023 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Toi Seng
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer De Lacerda J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cheung Modesto M. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Toi Seng Compare

Top Goalscorer Li J. Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ho K. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.67
Avg xA / game 1.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Macau 10 / 100
Toi Seng 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Macau Toi Seng

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toi Seng Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Toi Seng conceded in 100% of 16 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Toi Seng lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Macau scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Macau VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
4.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Macau

(Home)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
Page 1 of 7

Toi Seng

(Away)
30 Jul
Toi Seng
1 : 6
Monte Carlo
22 Jul
Toi Seng
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
16 Jul
Toi Seng
1 : 6
Cheng Fung
08 Jul
Hang Sai
1 : 4
Toi Seng
25 Jun
Toi Seng
1 : 2
Lun Lok
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 16 15 1 0 73:4 46
2 Benfica 16 13 1 2 57:14 40
3 Monte Carlo 16 12 1 3 64:15 37
4 Cheng Fung 16 10 1 5 45:20 31
5 Lun Lok 16 5 1 10 22:43 16
6 Hang Sai 16 4 1 11 24:75 13
7 Tak Chun Ka I 16 4 1 11 27:58 13
8 Sporting Macau 16 2 2 12 23:63 8
9 Toi Seng 16 2 1 13 17:60 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2024/2025 (Qualification)