Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Praia vs Morabeza

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2009 game between Sporting Praia and Morabeza finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Praia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sporting Praia
20%
Draws
38%
Morabeza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sporting Praia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sporting Praia come out ahead of Morabeza on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Praia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sporting Praia Clean Sheet 19%
Morabeza Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Praia Morabeza
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 13
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.39 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting Praia vs Morabeza
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Praia 42 / 100
Morabeza 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Praia Morabeza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Praia found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Morabeza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Sporting Praia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Praia VS Morabeza
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Praia

(Home)
19 Jun
Sporting Praia
1 : 4
Rosariense
11 Jun
Ultramarina
0 : 2
Sporting Praia
04 Jun
Sporting Praia
2 : 0
GD Varandinha
28 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 0
Sporting Praia
21 May
Sporting Praia
4 : 2
Ultramarina
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Morabeza

(Away)
15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2
Morabeza
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1
Barreirense
26 May
Morabeza
2 : 2
Palmeira
18 May
Palmeira
2 : 0
Morabeza
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1
Morabeza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica Praia 5 4 1 0 10:5 13
2 Mindelense 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
3 Ultramarina 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
4 Onze Unidos 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
5 Santa Maria 5 0 2 3 6:13 2
6 Foguetoes 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Praia 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 SC do Porto Novo 5 3 0 2 9:6 9
3 Vulcanico 5 2 1 2 3:4 7
4 Morabeza 5 2 1 2 4:8 7
5 Estrela dos Amadores 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
6 Academica Boavista 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2009 (Play Offs)