Sport Picks
Sporting Trestina vs Orvietana
Italy
Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 
Match Events
18'
18'
Panattoni M.
90'
90'
Priore E.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 game between Sporting Trestina and Orvietana finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Orvietana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sporting Trestina's 1.17 goals per match outpaces what Orvietana have produced (0.93).
- Win probability leans Orvietana's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 17%
Orvietana Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sporting Trestina | Orvietana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Orvietana
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Orvietana vs Sporting Trestina
1:2
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Orvietana
0:0
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Orvietana vs Sporting Trestina
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Orvietana
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sporting Trestina Compare
Top Goalscorer Priore E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Orvietana Compare
Top Goalscorer Panattoni M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sporting Trestina 15 / 100
Orvietana 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sporting Trestina Orvietana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Orvietana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Trestina scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Orvietana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.
Sporting Trestina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sporting Trestina VS Orvietana
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sporting Trestina
(Home) 16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1 Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0 Sporting Trestina
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0 Sporting Trestina
03 May
Siena
4 : 4 Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1 Fossombrone
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5 Vigor Senigallia
26 Apr
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2 Prato
12 Apr
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
28 Mar
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Scandicci
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Orvietana
(Away) 10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0 Poggibonsi
03 May
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0 Orvietana
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 1 Orvietana
12 Apr
Orvietana
0 : 1 Scandicci
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Terranuova Traiana
0 : 0 Orvietana
19 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
0 : 1 Orvietana
02 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0 Orvietana
22 Mar
Tau
2 : 1 Orvietana
15 Mar
Sporting Trestina
1 : 1 Orvietana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)
