Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sporting Trestina vs Prato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Greselin S.
65' Event
Lattarulo I.

AI Match Summary

Prato in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Prato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Sporting Trestina
30%
Draws
58%
Prato
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Prato have won more games recently than Sporting Trestina.
  • Win probability leans Prato's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 14%
Prato Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Trestina Prato
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 17
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Prato
0:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs Sporting Trestina
2:1
Apr 28, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Prato vs Sporting Trestina
1:3
Dec 16, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Prato
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sporting Trestina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Greselin S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lattarulo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting Trestina 15 / 100
Prato 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Trestina Prato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Prato Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Trestina found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Prato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Sporting Trestina remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sporting Trestina VS Prato
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting Trestina

(Home)
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1
Fossombrone
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5
Vigor Senigallia
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
03 May
Siena
4 : 4
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 6

Prato

(Away)
16 Sept
Prato
1 : 1
Grassina
13 Sept
Rondinella
1 : 3
Prato
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0
Ternana
17 May
Prato
1 : 2
Seravezza Pozzi
10 May
Prato
3 : 1
Siena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)