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Sporting vs Racing Club Aruba

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division di Honor game between Sporting and Racing Club Aruba finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Sporting
35%
Draws
13%
Racing Club Aruba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sporting carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Sporting taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Sporting Clean Sheet 10%
Racing Club Aruba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sporting Racing Club Aruba
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.71 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division di Honor
Sporting vs Racing Club Aruba
3:2
Mar 21, 2026 Division di Honor
Sporting vs Racing Club Aruba
3:2
Nov 20, 2025 Division di Honor
Sporting vs Racing Club Aruba
1:2
Apr 8, 2011 Division di Honor
Racing Club Aruba vs Sporting
2:1
Nov 27, 2010 Division di Honor
Sporting vs Racing Club Aruba
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sporting 34 / 100
Racing Club Aruba 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sporting Racing Club Aruba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Racing Club Aruba has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Sporting went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sporting VS Racing Club Aruba
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sporting

(Home)
18 Jul
Britannia
3 : 1
Sporting
16 Jun
SV Dakota
0 : 2
Sporting
10 Jun
Britannia
0 : 0
Sporting
31 May
Sporting
2 : 2
La Fama
23 May
La Fama
1 : 2
Sporting
Page 1 of 7

Racing Club Aruba

(Away)
23 May
Bubali
1 : 1
Racing Club Aruba
16 May
La Fama
2 : 0
Racing Club Aruba
09 May
Sporting
3 : 2
Racing Club Aruba
02 May
SV Dakota
1 : 1
Racing Club Aruba
25 Apr
Britannia
3 : 2
Racing Club Aruba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Britannia 10 8 0 2 17:8 24
2 SV Dakota 10 6 2 2 27:10 20
3 Sporting 10 4 1 5 13:24 13
4 La Fama 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
5 Bubali 10 3 3 4 13:17 12
6 Racing Club Aruba 10 0 3 7 12:22 3
Promotion - Division di Honor (Final Group)