Sport Picks
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción 
Match Events
20'
20'
Paredes A.
25'
25'
Romero F.
(Penalty)
37'
37'
Cabral R.
AI Match Summary
Sportivo Trinidense in this Copa de Primera tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sportivo Ameliano have won more games recently than Sportivo Trinidense.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Sportivo Ameliano have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Trinidense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 14%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Ameliano | Sportivo Trinidense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:2
Mar 19, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1
Nov 26, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
Sep 8, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Ameliano Compare
Top Goalscorer Paredes A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Sportivo Trinidense Compare
Top Goalscorer De la Cruz L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Ameliano 31 / 100
Sportivo Trinidense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Trinidense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Ameliano's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Sportivo Trinidense let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Sportivo Ameliano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Sportivo Trinidense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Ameliano VS Sportivo Trinidense
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Ameliano
(Home) 24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
16 May
Guarani
1 : 0 Sportivo Ameliano
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
03 May
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
24 Apr
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
11 May
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 2 Recoleta
20 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
05 Apr
Sportivo Ameliano
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
27 Mar
Sportivo Ameliano
2 : 0 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Trinidense
(Away) 24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
25 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
25 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
12 Apr
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
29 Mar
Guarani
0 : 0 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
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