Sport Picks

Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres

Sportivo Ameliano

0 - 1

Cerro Porteno

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Piris R.

46'

Sub

Vegetti P. In: Aliseda I.

Out: Vegetti P.

57'

Gimenez G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Copa de Primera game between Sportivo Ameliano and Cerro Porteno finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerro Porteno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Sportivo Ameliano

33%

Draws

40%

Cerro Porteno

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Cerro Porteno carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Cerro Porteno a 40% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this Copa de Primera fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 23%

Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sportivo Ameliano	Cerro Porteno
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	10	18
Draws	11	8
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	1.38	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Copa de Primera

Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano

Possession: 54% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Feb 25, 2026 Copa de Primera

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Sep 20, 2025 Copa de Primera

Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Ameliano

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Jul 12, 2025 Copa de Primera

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno

Possession: 53% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

May 21, 2025 Copa de Primera

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Ameliano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Cerro Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Ameliano 29 / 100

Cerro Porteno 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sportivo Ameliano Cerro Porteno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Ameliano scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Sportivo Ameliano remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Cerro Porteno let in goals in 47% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Ameliano VS Cerro Porteno

1.38 Goals Scored 0.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpia Asuncion	22	15	4	3	37:17	49
2	Nacional Asuncion	22	10	9	3	31:22	39
3	Cerro Porteno	22	11	5	6	30:22	38
4	Sportivo Ameliano	22	8	9	5	27:21	33
5	Sportivo Trinidense	22	8	8	6	30:24	32
6	Libertad Asuncion	22	9	4	9	34:26	31
7	Guarani	22	7	8	7	27:23	29
8	Recoleta	22	8	4	10	35:32	28
9	Rubio Nu	22	6	5	11	15:26	23
10	2 de Mayo	22	5	7	10	18:35	22
11	Sp. Luqueno	22	5	5	12	24:33	20
12	San Lorenzo	22	3	6	13	14:41	15