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Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Capiata

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Delgado C.
51' Event
Torales J.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Oviedo F.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia 2025 game between Sportivo Carapegua and Deportivo Capiata finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Sportivo Carapegua
28%
Draws
50%
Deportivo Capiata
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Deportivo Capiata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Deportivo Capiata carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Deportivo Capiata a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 11%
Deportivo Capiata Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Carapegua Deportivo Capiata
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 12
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Sportivo Carapegua
5:2
Oct 4, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Capiata
2:2
Jun 30, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
Nov 3, 2013 Copa de Primera
Deportivo Capiata vs Sportivo Carapegua
3:1
Aug 21, 2013 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Capiata
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Deportivo Capiata Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oviedo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Carapegua 22 / 100
Deportivo Capiata 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Carapegua Deportivo Capiata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CDC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Sportivo Carapegua's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Deportivo Capiata has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Sportivo Carapegua stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Carapegua VS Deportivo Capiata
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rubio Nu30179446:2160
2San Lorenzo30158738:2253
3Deportivo Capiata301410637:2152
412 de Junio301212636:2648
5Pastoreo301011934:3141
6Resistencia30913846:5040
7Guairena FC301161341:3839
8Sol de America309111034:3538
9Tacuary301081228:3638
10Club River Plate30813935:3937
11Deportivo Santani308111133:3535
12Encarnacion FC308111133:4235
13Sportivo Carapegua307131039:4634
14Independiente FBC30971432:4034
15Fernando de la Mora306101424:4028
16Guarani de Fram305111435:4926