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Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Santani

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Cabrera A.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between Sportivo Carapegua and Deportivo Santani finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sportivo Carapegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sportivo Carapegua
6%
Draws
90%
Deportivo Santani
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Santani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Santani come out ahead of Sportivo Carapegua on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Deportivo Santani taking it.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sportivo Carapegua have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 13%
Deportivo Santani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Carapegua Deportivo Santani
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 6 12
Draws 10 11
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Santani
1:0
Aug 28, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Santani vs Sportivo Carapegua
4:1
May 25, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Santani
4:0
Jul 28, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Deportivo Santani
1:0
Apr 22, 2024 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Santani vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabrera A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Deportivo Santani Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Carapegua 10 / 100
Deportivo Santani 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Carapegua Deportivo Santani

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Carapegua scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Deportivo Santani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Sportivo Carapegua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Carapegua VS Deportivo Santani
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 de Junio1493221:1130
2Benjamin Aceval1484224:1328
3General Caballero JLM1483330:2027
4Deportivo Santani1473418:1124
5Sol de America1457217:1222
6Deportivo Capiata1356220:1521
7Guairena FC1463516:1721
8Independiente FBC1354419:1719
9Atletico Tembetary1353520:1918
10Resistencia1446416:1818
11Sportivo Carapegua1444616:2616
12Fernando de la Mora1443715:2215
13Tacuary1326517:2112
14Paraguari AC1424812:1810
15Encarnacion FC14221013:228
163 de Noviembre1407712:247