Sport Picks

Paraguay

Division Intermedia 2025

Sportivo Carapegua

1 - 1

Guarani de Fram

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Viveros F.

79'

Benitez M.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia 2025 game between Sportivo Carapegua and Guarani de Fram finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Sportivo Carapegua

28%

Draws

22%

Guarani de Fram

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sportivo Carapegua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Sportivo Carapegua carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Sportivo Carapegua's way, sitting at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.8%

Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 68%

Guarani de Fram Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sportivo Carapegua	Guarani de Fram
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	6	5
Draws	11	10
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	1.63	0.67
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2025 Division Intermedia

Guarani de Fram vs Sportivo Carapegua

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 1 - 4

1:0

Jun 23, 2025 Division Intermedia

Sportivo Carapegua vs Guarani de Fram

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Guarani de Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Viveros F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.61

Avg xA / game 0.37

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Carapegua 59 / 100

Guarani de Fram 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sportivo Carapegua Guarani de Fram

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarani de Fram has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Sportivo Carapegua found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sportivo Carapegua remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Carapegua VS Guarani de Fram

1.63 Goals Scored 0.67

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.67

63% Over 1.5 67%

63% Over 2.5 33%

50% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rubio Nu	30	17	9	4	46:21	60
2	San Lorenzo	30	15	8	7	38:22	53
3	Deportivo Capiata	30	14	10	6	37:21	52
4	12 de Junio	30	12	12	6	36:26	48
5	Pastoreo	30	10	11	9	34:31	41
6	Resistencia	30	9	13	8	46:50	40
7	Guairena FC	30	11	6	13	41:38	39
8	Sol de America	30	9	11	10	34:35	38
9	Tacuary	30	10	8	12	28:36	38
10	Club River Plate	30	8	13	9	35:39	37
11	Deportivo Santani	30	8	11	11	33:35	35
12	Encarnacion FC	30	8	11	11	33:42	35
13	Sportivo Carapegua	30	7	13	10	39:46	34
14	Independiente FBC	30	9	7	14	32:40	34
15	Fernando de la Mora	30	6	10	14	24:40	28
16	Guarani de Fram	30	5	11	14	35:49	26