Sport Picks
Sportivo Carapegua vs Independiente FBC
Paraguay
Division Intermedia 
Match Events
38'
38'
Morel F.
45'
45'
Morel F.
AI Match Summary
Independiente FBC in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente FBC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Sportivo Carapegua have won more games recently than Independiente FBC.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 20%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Carapegua | Independiente FBC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 25, 2026 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:1
Jun 6, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Independiente FBC
0:2
Aug 3, 2025 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapegua
3:3
Apr 28, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Independiente FBC
1:1
Aug 19, 2024 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Carapegua Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Independiente FBC Compare
Top Goalscorer Morel F.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Carapegua 32 / 100
Independiente FBC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Carapegua Independiente FBC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Carapegua scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Independiente FBC conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Sportivo Carapegua has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Carapegua VS Independiente FBC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Carapegua
(Home) 25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0 Tacuary
15 Sept
Atletico Tembetary
1 : 2 Sportivo Carapegua
10 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 0 Benjamin Aceval
04 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 3 Paraguari AC
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0 Tacuary
10 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 0 Benjamin Aceval
04 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 3 Paraguari AC
23 Aug
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 3 Encarnacion FC
09 Aug
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 0 Fernando de la Mora
Page 1 of 3
Independiente FBC
(Away) 25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
12 de Junio
0 : 4 Independiente FBC
14 Sept
Independiente FBC
1 : 0 Encarnacion FC
09 Sept
Deportivo Santani
1 : 2 Independiente FBC
04 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 0 Fernando de la Mora
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
12 de Junio
0 : 4 Independiente FBC
09 Sept
Deportivo Santani
1 : 2 Independiente FBC
28 Aug
3 de Noviembre
5 : 2 Independiente FBC
15 Aug
Guairena FC
1 : 2 Independiente FBC
02 Aug
Sol de America
1 : 1 Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Santani | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 45:25 | 51 |
| 2 | General Caballero JLM | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 52:33 | 50 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 35:26 | 49 |
| 4 | Benjamin Aceval | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40:32 | 42 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32:24 | 40 |
| 6 | Sportivo Carapegua | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 31:38 | 38 |
| 7 | Independiente FBC | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 37:33 | 37 |
| 8 | Paraguari AC | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 9 | Fernando de la Mora | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30:35 | 34 |
| 10 | Atletico Tembetary | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 11 | Resistencia | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 28:32 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Capiata | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 30:36 | 28 |
| 13 | 3 de Noviembre | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 33:39 | 26 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:35 | 25 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 28:40 | 24 |
| 16 | Encarnacion FC | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 25:36 | 22 |
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)
