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Sportivo Carapegua vs Independiente FBC

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Morel F.
45' Event
Morel F.

AI Match Summary

Independiente FBC in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente FBC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sportivo Carapegua
44%
Draws
20%
Independiente FBC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Independiente FBC have won more games recently than Sportivo Carapegua.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 12%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Carapegua Independiente FBC
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Independiente FBC
0:2
Aug 3, 2025 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapegua
3:3
Apr 28, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Independiente FBC
1:1
Aug 19, 2024 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Sportivo Carapegua
0:1
May 12, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Independiente FBC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Carapegua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Independiente FBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Morel F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Carapegua 35 / 100
Independiente FBC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Carapegua Independiente FBC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Carapegua scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Independiente FBC conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Sportivo Carapegua has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Carapegua VS Independiente FBC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 de Junio15103222:1133
2Benjamin Aceval1594226:1331
3General Caballero JLM1583430:2127
4Deportivo Santani1473418:1124
5Sol de America1558218:1323
6Atletico Tembetary1564524:2122
7Deportivo Capiata1557321:1822
8Guairena FC1563617:1921
9Independiente FBC1555523:2220
10Sportivo Carapegua1554618:2719
11Resistencia1546516:2018
12Fernando de la Mora1443715:2215
13Tacuary1528519:2314
14Paraguari AC1534815:2013
15Encarnacion FC15321015:2311
163 de Noviembre1507813:267