Sport Picks
Sportivo Italiano vs Argentino de Merlo
Argentina
Primera B Republica de Italia Stadium, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
10'
10'
Salvador A.
12'
12'
Lopez F.
17'
17'
Fantino L.
AI Match Summary
The Primera B game between Sportivo Italiano and Argentino de Merlo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Argentino de Merlo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportivo Italiano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sportivo Italiano come out ahead of Argentino de Merlo on wins alone.
- Sportivo Italiano are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Sportivo Italiano Clean Sheet 68%
Argentino de Merlo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Italiano | Argentino de Merlo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 31, 2026 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Argentino de Merlo
0:2
Jul 13, 2025 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Argentino de Merlo
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Primera B
Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano
5:1
May 11, 2024 Primera B
Sportivo Italiano vs Argentino de Merlo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Italiano Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Argentino de Merlo Compare
Top Goalscorer Salvador A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jerez T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Italiano 51 / 100
Argentino de Merlo 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Italiano Argentino de Merlo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Sportivo Italiano stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Sportivo Italiano's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Argentino de Merlo conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Italiano VS Argentino de Merlo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Italiano
(Home) 18 Jul
San Martin Burzaco
1 : 2 Sportivo Italiano
14 Jul
Sportivo Italiano
1 : 0 Villa San Carlos
10 Jul
CSD Liniers
0 : 1 Sportivo Italiano
05 Jul
Sportivo Italiano
1 : 1 Real Pilar
28 Jun
UAI Urquiza
0 : 0 Sportivo Italiano
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Sportivo Italiano
1 : 0 Villa San Carlos
05 Jul
Sportivo Italiano
1 : 1 Real Pilar
13 Jun
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 1 Excursionistas
31 May
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 2 Argentino de Merlo
27 May
Sportivo Italiano
1 : 2 San Martin Burzaco
Page 1 of 3
Argentino de Merlo
(Away) 18 Jul
Argentino de Merlo
2 : 2 Deportivo Armenio
14 Jul
Flandria
1 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
10 Jul
Argentino de Merlo
3 : 0 Argentino de Quilmes
05 Jul
Defensores Unidos
1 : 1 Argentino de Merlo
28 Jun
Argentino de Merlo
3 : 2 Comunicaciones
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Flandria
1 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
05 Jul
Defensores Unidos
1 : 1 Argentino de Merlo
14 Jun
Dep. Merlo
2 : 2 Argentino de Merlo
31 May
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 2 Argentino de Merlo
26 May
Deportivo Armenio
2 : 0 Argentino de Merlo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal Sarandi | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 37:19 | 50 |
| 2 | Excursionistas | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios Escalada | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 29:13 | 49 |
| 4 | Villa Dalmine | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 30:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Deportivo Camioneros | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 31:17 | 47 |
| 6 | Sportivo Italiano | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 27:21 | 44 |
| 7 | Comunicaciones | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 30:26 | 38 |
| 8 | Laferrere | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:30 | 38 |
| 9 | Real Pilar | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29:29 | 37 |
| 10 | Deportivo Armenio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 30:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Dep. Merlo | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:38 | 36 |
| 12 | San Martin Burzaco | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 26:23 | 35 |
| 13 | Argentino de Merlo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26:24 | 35 |
| 14 | Dock Sud | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 26:24 | 31 |
| 15 | Argentino de Quilmes | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 25:28 | 31 |
| 16 | CSD Liniers | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 17:26 | 27 |
| 17 | Flandria | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 20:32 | 26 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 20:29 | 25 |
| 19 | UAI Urquiza | 26 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 12:22 | 24 |
| 20 | Brown Adrogue | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 16:29 | 24 |
| 21 | Villa San Carlos | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 24:33 | 22 |
| 22 | Ituzaingo | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 18:45 | 10 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)