Sport Picks
Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción 
Match Events
18'
18'
Romero F.
46'
46'
Sub
Paredes C. In: Piris R.
Out: Paredes C.
46'
46'
Sub
Peralta F. In: Noguera F.
Out: Peralta F.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Sportivo Trinidense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cerro Porteno carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Cerro Porteno arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Trinidense, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 20%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Trinidense | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 12 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Cerro Porteno
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:3
Apr 20, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Trinidense Compare
Top Goalscorer Romero F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gonzalez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Cerro Porteno Compare
Top Goalscorer Vegetti P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Trinidense 32 / 100
Cerro Porteno 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Trinidense Cerro Porteno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Trinidense scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Cerro Porteno has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Sportivo Trinidense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Trinidense VS Cerro Porteno
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Trinidense
(Home) 24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
25 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
17 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 San Lorenzo
06 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
4 : 0 Rubio Nu
01 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Cerro Porteno
(Away) 28 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0 Sporting Cristal
24 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0 Rubio Nu
21 May
Palmeiras
0 : 1 Cerro Porteno
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
11 May
Cerro Porteno
0 : 0 Guarani
Page 1 of 6
21 May
Palmeiras
0 : 1 Cerro Porteno
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
08 May
Junior
0 : 1 Cerro Porteno
03 May
Recoleta
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
19 Apr
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
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