Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sportivo Trinidense vs Recoleta

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción
Sportivo Trinidense Logo

Sportivo Trinidense

3 - 2
FT
Recoleta Logo

Recoleta

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Espinola J.
Own Goal
32' Event
Gonzalez L.
Assist: Rayer T.
37' Event
Wlk A.
Assist: Rios P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sportivo Trinidense
15%
Draws
26%
Recoleta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportivo Trinidense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sportivo Trinidense lately — more wins on the board than Recoleta.
  • Sportivo Trinidense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sportivo Trinidense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Recoleta, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 68%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportivo Trinidense Recoleta
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.52 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:3
Mar 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Recoleta
3:2
Jan 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs Recoleta
2:3
Jul 4, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sportivo Trinidense
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sportivo Trinidense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Wlk A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ortiz R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportivo Trinidense 95 / 100
Recoleta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportivo Trinidense Recoleta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Trinidense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Sportivo Trinidense scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Sportivo Trinidense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportivo Trinidense VS Recoleta
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportivo Trinidense

(Home)
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1
Guarani
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
06 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2
Olimpia Asuncion
02 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
0 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6

Recoleta

(Away)
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Recoleta
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1
Guairena FC
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0
Recoleta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 22 15 4 3 37:17 49
2 Nacional Asuncion 22 10 9 3 31:22 39
3 Cerro Porteno 22 11 5 6 30:22 38
4 Sportivo Ameliano 22 8 9 5 27:21 33
5 Sportivo Trinidense 22 8 8 6 30:24 32
6 Libertad Asuncion 22 9 4 9 34:26 31
7 Guarani 22 7 8 7 27:23 29
8 Recoleta 22 8 4 10 35:32 28
9 Rubio Nu 22 6 5 11 15:26 23
10 2 de Mayo 22 5 7 10 18:35 22
11 Sp. Luqueno 22 5 5 12 24:33 20
12 San Lorenzo 22 3 6 13 14:41 15
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