Sport Picks
Sportivo Trinidense vs San Lorenzo
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Martín Torres, Asunción 
Match Events
11'
11'
Romero F.
Assist: Morinigo A.
20'
20'
Galeano A.
Assist: Torres I.
28'
28'
Sub
Franco L. In: Cristoforo F.
Out: Franco L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Sportivo Trinidense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sportivo Trinidense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sportivo Trinidense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Sportivo Trinidense a 70% chance of winning this.
- Sportivo Trinidense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sportivo Trinidense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Sportivo Trinidense Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportivo Trinidense | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 17, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Trinidense vs San Lorenzo
2:1
Feb 19, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
Oct 8, 2022 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Trinidense vs San Lorenzo
2:0
Jul 4, 2022 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense
3:0
Oct 18, 2021 Division Intermedia
San Lorenzo vs Sportivo Trinidense
5:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportivo Trinidense Compare
Top Goalscorer Romero F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gauto N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
San Lorenzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Galeano A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportivo Trinidense 77 / 100
San Lorenzo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportivo Trinidense San Lorenzo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Sportivo Trinidense scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
San Lorenzo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Sportivo Trinidense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sportivo Trinidense VS San Lorenzo
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportivo Trinidense
(Home) 24 May
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 2 Sportivo Trinidense
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
09 May
Nacional Asuncion
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
25 Apr
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
15 May
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 1 Cerro Porteno
01 May
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
17 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 San Lorenzo
06 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
4 : 0 Rubio Nu
01 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
San Lorenzo
(Away) 22 May
2 de Mayo
0 : 1 San Lorenzo
17 May
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
10 May
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Olimpia Asuncion
01 May
Libertad Asuncion
5 : 0 San Lorenzo
26 Apr
San Lorenzo
0 : 1 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6
22 May
2 de Mayo
0 : 1 San Lorenzo
01 May
Libertad Asuncion
5 : 0 San Lorenzo
17 Apr
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 San Lorenzo
04 Apr
Recoleta
4 : 2 San Lorenzo
28 Mar
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
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