Sport Picks
Sportlust vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportlust
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sportlust haven't matched ADO 20 Heemskerk's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Sportlust taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 16%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportlust | ADO 20 Heemskerk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs Sportlust
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportlust 39 / 100
ADO 20 Heemskerk 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportlust ADO 20 Heemskerk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportlust Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportlust scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: ADO 20 Heemskerk conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Sportlust went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sportlust VS ADO 20 Heemskerk
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportlust
(Home) 03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Sportlust
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03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
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ADO 20 Heemskerk
(Away) 03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3 ADO 20 Heemskerk
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5 VV Hoogeveen
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6 ADO 20 Heemskerk
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
VV DOVO
1 : 3 ADO 20 Heemskerk
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6 ADO 20 Heemskerk
22 Aug
Eemdijk
4 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
06 Jun
IJsselmeervogels
1 : 0 ADO 20 Heemskerk
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
