Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Bendadi M.
77'
77'
Hazzat R.
AI Match Summary
Sportlust in this Derde Divisie 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sportlust.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportlust
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Sportlust have won more games recently than AWC.
- Sportlust are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 19%
AWC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportlust | AWC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs AWC
2:0
Nov 25, 2023 Derde Divisie
AWC vs Sportlust
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sportlust Compare
Top Goalscorer Bendadi M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hazzat R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
AWC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportlust 85 / 100
AWC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportlust AWC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sportlust Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AWC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Sportlust scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Sportlust stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sportlust VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportlust
(Home) 26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Sportlust
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
22 Aug
Sportlust
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 4
AWC
(Away) 03 Sept
AWC
0 : 2 ASWH
26 Jun
AWC
1 : 3 Gemert
01 Jun
AWC
0 : 2 Smitshoek
29 May
Smitshoek
1 : 1 AWC
25 May
AWC
1 : 4 Meerssen
Page 1 of 6
29 May
Smitshoek
1 : 1 AWC
18 May
SteDoCo
3 : 3 AWC
04 May
Sportlust
2 : 0 AWC
06 Apr
VV Kloetinge
3 : 0 AWC
24 Mar
TEC
3 : 0 AWC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RKAV Volendam | 34 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 92:53 | 66 |
| 2 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 72:43 | 63 |
| 3 | Genemuiden | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 68:40 | 59 |
| 4 | USV Hercules | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 63:43 | 57 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 81:66 | 56 |
| 6 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62:47 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 62:45 | 52 |
| 8 | HSC '21 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:53 | 52 |
| 9 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 61:42 | 48 |
| 10 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 60:62 | 48 |
| 11 | Eemdijk | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:62 | 48 |
| 12 | VVSB | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 62:67 | 47 |
| 13 | DEM | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 49:54 | 47 |
| 14 | Urk | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:73 | 45 |
| 15 | Staphorst | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 56:64 | 44 |
| 16 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 45:87 | 33 |
| 17 | Kampong | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44:70 | 25 |
| 18 | ODIN '59 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 29:108 | 14 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barendrecht | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 76:37 | 71 |
| 2 | SteDoCo | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 70:32 | 69 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 67:35 | 67 |
| 4 | TEC | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 67:33 | 61 |
| 5 | Sportlust | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 56:36 | 61 |
| 6 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 64:62 | 58 |
| 7 | Meerssen | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 71:52 | 56 |
| 8 | TOGB | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 47:43 | 50 |
| 9 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 73:53 | 47 |
| 10 | UNA | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 50:46 | 47 |
| 11 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 62:64 | 47 |
| 12 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 45:48 | 47 |
| 13 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 55:70 | 36 |
| 14 | FC OSS '20 | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 47:70 | 36 |
| 15 | AWC | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 28:66 | 30 |
| 16 | GVV Unitas | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 40:64 | 29 |
| 17 | Groene Ster | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 29:79 | 26 |
| 18 | Baronie | 34 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 34:91 | 20 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
