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Stadium Background

Sportlust vs Rohda Raalte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rohda Raalte in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rohda Raalte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Sportlust
15%
Draws
26%
Rohda Raalte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportlust

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sportlust have won more games recently than Rohda Raalte.
  • Win probability leans Sportlust's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 17%
Rohda Raalte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sportlust Rohda Raalte
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs Rohda Raalte
1:2
Nov 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Rohda Raalte vs Sportlust
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Rohda Raalte vs Sportlust
4:4
Sep 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs Rohda Raalte
2:0
Sep 3, 2024 KNVB Beker
Rohda Raalte vs Sportlust
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sportlust 48 / 100
Rohda Raalte 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sportlust Rohda Raalte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportlust Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rohda Raalte has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Sportlust found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Sportlust went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sportlust VS Rohda Raalte
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sportlust

(Home)
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3
Excelsior 31
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2
Sportlust
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0
VV DOVO
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4
Sportlust
Page 1 of 6

Rohda Raalte

(Away)
03 Oct
Rohda Raalte
1 : 3
GVVV
26 Sept
VV Kloetinge
3 : 3
Rohda Raalte
23 Sept
TOGB
4 : 6
Rohda Raalte
19 Sept
Rohda Raalte
0 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
12 Sept
Quick Boys
3 : 1
Rohda Raalte
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)