Sport Picks
Sportlust vs VV Hoogeveen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between Sportlust and VV Hoogeveen finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sportlust
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and VV Hoogeveen come out ahead of Sportlust on wins alone.
- Win probability leans VV Hoogeveen's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and VV Hoogeveen have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sportlust Clean Sheet 11%
VV Hoogeveen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sportlust | VV Hoogeveen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs VV Hoogeveen
2:2
Apr 11, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs Sportlust
3:2
Nov 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sportlust vs VV Hoogeveen
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sportlust 22 / 100
VV Hoogeveen 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sportlust VV Hoogeveen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VV Hoogeveen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VV Hoogeveen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Sportlust's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Sportlust has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sportlust VS VV Hoogeveen
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sportlust
(Home) 03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
12 Sept
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Sportlust
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Sportlust
0 : 3 Excelsior 31
22 Sept
Sportlust
0 : 2 Excelsior Maassluis
19 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 0 VV DOVO
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
01 Sept
Sportlust
3 : 1 Blauw Geel
Page 1 of 4
VV Hoogeveen
(Away) 03 Oct
VV Hoogeveen
5 : 3 Genemuiden
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5 VV Hoogeveen
22 Sept
ACV Assen
2 : 1 VV Hoogeveen
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4 VV Hoogeveen
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5 VV Hoogeveen
22 Sept
ACV Assen
2 : 1 VV Hoogeveen
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4 VV Hoogeveen
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
22 Aug
VV Scherpenzeel
2 : 1 VV Hoogeveen
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
