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Springfield vs St. Charles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League Two 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2023 game between Springfield and St. Charles finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Charles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Springfield
15%
Draws
57%
St. Charles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Charles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Charles carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans St. Charles's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Springfield Clean Sheet 10%
St. Charles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Springfield St. Charles
Matches Played 26 24
Wins 4 12
Draws 1 3
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.92 2.5
Goals Conceded 3 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2023 USL League Two
St. Charles vs Springfield
1:0
Jun 5, 2023 USL League Two
Springfield vs St. Charles
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Springfield 10 / 100
St. Charles 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Springfield St. Charles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Charles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Springfield scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

St. Charles has conceded goals in 79% of their last 24 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Away concern: St. Charles has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Springfield VS St. Charles
0.6 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 75%
40% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Springfield

(Home)
14 Jul
FC Wichita
5 : 0
Springfield
10 Jul
Peoria IL
6 : 1
Springfield
06 Jul
Springfield
0 : 2
Peoria IL
02 Jul
Chicago Dutch Lions
1 : 2
Springfield
28 Jun
St. Charles
1 : 0
Springfield
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St. Charles

(Away)
11 Jul
St. Charles
5 : 2
Sueno
03 Jul
St. Charles
1 : 2
Menace
29 Jun
St. Charles
1 : 2
Peoria IL
23 Jun
Peoria IL
0 : 3
St. Charles
16 Jun
Menace
4 : 2
St. Charles
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